Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#161
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#156
Pace61.6#286
Improvement+1.8#97

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#152
Improvement+0.3#152

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#187
Improvement+1.4#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2012 345   @ New Orleans W 72-55 92%     1 - 0 +1.4 -17.9 +16.8
  Nov 20, 2012 306   @ SIU Edwardsville W 71-55 73%     2 - 0 +9.8 -5.7 +14.9
  Nov 24, 2012 17   @ Saint Louis L 51-61 7%     2 - 1 +7.0 -1.0 +6.1
  Nov 28, 2012 99   Fresno St. W 57-54 45%     3 - 1 +4.5 +1.7 +3.5
  Dec 05, 2012 183   @ Western Kentucky L 57-58 42%     3 - 2 +1.3 -9.7 +11.0
  Dec 15, 2012 126   @ Green Bay W 72-70 29%     4 - 2 +7.9 +3.1 +4.8
  Dec 17, 2012 345   New Orleans W 74-61 97%     5 - 2 -9.1 -10.2 +0.9
  Dec 20, 2012 199   UC Davis L 70-78 57%     5 - 3 -9.7 -6.6 -3.1
  Dec 21, 2012 288   Nicholls St. W 65-53 79%     6 - 3 +3.8 -8.7 +13.3
  Dec 22, 2012 116   @ Utah St. L 58-70 27%     6 - 4 -5.3 -1.3 -6.9
  Dec 30, 2012 197   @ Missouri St. L 59-70 45%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -9.4 +6.8 -20.1
  Jan 02, 2013 159   Bradley L 60-66 61%     6 - 6 0 - 2 -8.7 -10.5 +1.4
  Jan 05, 2013 79   @ Evansville L 68-85 20%     6 - 7 0 - 3 -7.7 +7.3 -16.7
  Jan 09, 2013 34   @ Wichita St. L 76-82 9%     6 - 8 0 - 4 +8.9 +12.9 -4.1
  Jan 12, 2013 96   Indiana St. W 76-71 44%     7 - 8 1 - 4 +6.7 -1.0 +7.3
  Jan 15, 2013 159   @ Bradley L 66-69 37%     7 - 9 1 - 5 +0.8 +5.4 -5.1
  Jan 20, 2013 65   Illinois St. L 56-70 34%     7 - 10 1 - 6 -9.6 -11.6 +1.0
  Jan 23, 2013 64   @ Northern Iowa L 45-58 16%     7 - 11 1 - 7 -2.0 -12.8 +8.3
  Jan 27, 2013 15   Creighton L 51-81 15%     7 - 12 1 - 8 -18.7 -14.8 -7.2
  Jan 30, 2013 118   Drake L 56-61 51%     7 - 13 1 - 9 -5.0 -12.9 +7.4
  Feb 02, 2013 65   @ Illinois St. L 47-83 16%     7 - 14 1 - 10 -25.1 -18.9 -8.1
  Feb 05, 2013 34   Wichita St. W 64-62 22%     8 - 14 2 - 10 +10.4 +4.0 +6.6
  Feb 09, 2013 96   @ Indiana St. L 65-66 23%     8 - 15 2 - 11 +7.2 +7.5 -0.5
  Feb 13, 2013 79   Evansville W 65-56 40%     9 - 15 3 - 11 +11.8 +0.2 +12.4
  Feb 16, 2013 197   Missouri St. W 62-54 69%     10 - 15 4 - 11 +3.2 +3.8 +1.7
  Feb 19, 2013 15   @ Creighton L 45-59 6%     10 - 16 4 - 12 +3.8 -15.7 +17.1
  Feb 23, 2013 239   Miami (OH) W 74-68 OT 77%     11 - 16 -1.7 -5.9 +3.9
  Feb 27, 2013 64   Northern Iowa W 63-57 34%     12 - 16 5 - 12 +10.5 +1.8 +9.5
  Mar 02, 2013 118   @ Drake W 66-63 27%     13 - 16 6 - 12 +9.5 +3.3 +6.6
  Mar 07, 2013 197   Missouri St. L 53-61 57%     13 - 17 -9.6 -8.7 -2.9
Projected Record 13.0 - 17.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%